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21年前

June 4th, 2010 4 comments

21年前的这个春夏交接之际,我刚6岁,还未上小学。我的父亲,那个春天刚刚公派出国留学。我模糊的记忆里,有他给我看国家发给他的外币,以及他出门的时候母亲喊我“快来跟爸爸说再见!”在之后的数月里,我时常会在夜里梦醒,因为梦中父亲的出现。

21年前的那段日子里,另外一个记忆的碎片,便是某一天幼儿园老师带我们到小区门口,去“围观”(用当下的网络词汇)一些大哥哥大姐姐们的游行。他们是否有喊什么口号,打什么标语,已无从追溯,但这件事本身我始终记得。

在许多年以后,我才逐渐意识到那是一个多么不平凡的春天,无论对我的家庭,还是对于我的祖国。最早对这些事情有些确切的概念,大约是在91年出国以后,听父亲、母亲和其他中国留学生家庭的讨论,抑或是因为在国外看到的电视新闻─总之,是“从大人那儿听来的”。又,那时为了学习中文的需要,读了一些浅显的讲历史的书,对社会运动与革命这样的事情,有了些最浅显的认识。

那时,我对1989的了解以及判断是极其简单乃至粗暴的。一定程度上,这与父亲、母亲对我的灌输有关。他们都是地道的农民家庭出身,两个人住在相邻的两村。他们经历了动荡的60、70年代,而恢复高考是改变父亲命运的一件事情;时至今日,性格直爽的母亲仍时常不无遗憾地说,当时她若是认真复习考上了大学,她的生活会是多么的不同。父亲走上了学术之路,他与母亲的婚姻则让这个家庭完成了从农村到城市的转变。一方面,他们对70年代末的社会变革是无比感激的,另一方面,他们很大程度上保留了中国农民千百年来素有的淳朴。这使得在政治问题上,他们的态度往往是非常务实而温和的,并通常是“穷则独善其身”式的主张─不问国是。

因此,他们对我的最初的灌输,大约是与官方立场相贴合的,学生运动被人利用,国家政治秩序被破坏,最后的清场虽然遗憾但不可避免。在我的少年时代的大部分时间里,我对于那个春天所发生的事情的认知,基本便可以这样概括。

之后是如何开始转变的,无从考证。大抵随着心智的成熟,以及对中国社会以及制度的认识的逐步形成,我开始意识到事件或许还有另一种描述。并不意外的是,这是一个支离破碎的认知过程,信息往往是零散的片断,比如某些“外媒”的报道,以及类似围绕维基百科这样的网络资源的争议。我那时并不怎么对1989年的春天有怎样的关注,而更多的是对中国当下的社会问题的不满。我从来都不是一个活跃分子,即便是诸如2005年水木清华BBS关站这样对我个人影响深远的事件,都没有把我真正变成“异见分子”。对于我来说,这个支离破碎的认知过程,更多的是在为了树立我内心的座标,是为了寻找内在的平衡─所以,我虽然对具体的事情的看法可能与父母有极大的出入,但他们还是把我培养成了一个“不问国是”、以“独善其身”为目标的人。

在大学的时候,利用北大的一个文件共享资源(该资源以大量色情资源闻名,中国当代大学生的生活倒也可以略见一二),曾偶然下到了一本禁书,某某事件《真相》。一个很简陋的txt文件,我饶有趣味地读了部分章节,但并未读完。尽管那恐怕是一部极有争议的书,我还是不得不承认,我对21年前的事情的看法在半信半疑中有了一些发展。

再有任何明显的进展,大约要是去年了,20周年前后发生的许多事情都一再地将我的视线移至那个春天。赵紫阳的那本书是一个素材,另一个素材是在网上下载到的台湾媒体20年前4月到6月的每日新闻报道。声画的力量是强大的,此前在纸上读到的如何惊心动魄的描述,都不若北京街头的一个平凡的采访片段有煽动力。而这个观看过程又好比电影里典型的倒叙手段─你宿命论似的业已知道最后的悲剧,这更加使得每一个平凡的场景都蕴含着可怕的命运。

我有没有完整的看完所有的片段,现竟不能记得,总之,那是一个相当煎熬的过程。

近几日,因为又逢周年,围绕那个春天的话题再次出现。也因为此,我想到想再去翻翻那本《真相》的书,而并不意外,学校的东亚研究图书馆便有。今天去图书馆,找到那本书,却同时看到了旁边芝加哥大学赵鼎新教授的《天安门的力量》,一本社会学学术之作。这后者,我以前共事的一个同事曾委托我去年去香港的时候帮他带一本,害得我当时颇费了一番周折才买到。最后,我即兴借走了赵鼎新的那本书,而把《真相》留在了书架上。

我想,这是因为我如今不再那么关注“真相”究竟为哪般,而是想要理清21年前的那个春天在中国历史以及社会变革中占有怎样的地位。21年了,那个春天之后出生的国人们都已经开始走向社会,然而时至今日,那个春天依旧是一个禁忌话题。中国的当代史总是存在这样的断档,80后不知文革,90后不知89,用一个烂俗的比方,这活脱是《1984》里面的情节。这样的断档与禁区是遗憾的,对中国的发展甚至可能是致命的,因为后人倘若不能理解中国社会为什么会是它现如今的样子,对其顽疾便无从诊断,这最终一定会制约中国的发展。

故此我期待,有一天,在我的祖国,人们可以正视这段历史,而1989年6月4日,不再是一个被屏蔽的日期。

─谨以此文纪念一个我们不能提及,却不能忘却的日子。

Categories: Books, My writings, Thoughts Tags: , ,

读书:《好莱坞怎样讲故事》

July 7th, 2009 No comments

这本书是几个月前一次在三里屯看电影前,在光合作用买的。冲动购物的结果。书是有点晦涩的学术性作品,而蹩脚的翻译加重了理解的困难。

这本书详细地分析了70-90年代的十部好莱坞电影,通过对剧情的非常细致的讲解展示了好莱坞经典的叙事手法。作者的意图在于以此来说明“好莱坞怎样讲故事”,并立论说好莱坞其实一直在遵循这种传统的手法,而并非像公众及影评界有时抨击的那样一边倒地抛弃了叙事。

作者同时还否定了常见的“三幕论”,认为事实上所谓的三幕结构(第一幕与第三幕各占1/4时间,中间第二幕占据1/2时间)并不是好莱坞常见的叙事结构。作者提出的结构是开场、铺垫、发展、高潮与尾声,并认为通常来说好的电影在结构上是平衡的,即这四部分(把高潮与尾声放在一起)时间上大体相当。对每部影片,作者都给出了每部分的时间长度,我自己觉得这种分析有点过于机械,但想来作为专业人士这是出于其学术习惯。

十部电影中,我看过六部。不得不承认作者对情节的剖析非常精彩,尽管这几部影片我大多都看过不止一遍(例如《回到未来》和《异形》,我都不知道看过多少遍了),很多细节(情节上的前后呼应、象征手法的应用、以及镜头语言)我还是没有注意到。所以读过之后最大的收获就是对这些影片的理解上升了一个层次。

意见:对这本书的主要意见在于翻译。译者对于一些俚语,或者说电影行业的术语的理解不足,而另一方面译者似乎不是专业的翻译(中文功底不够深厚),导致出现了一些明显的不尽如人意的地方,整本书读起来也经常十分拗口。(比如说sleeper,用来描述电影是说一部出人意料地卖座的片子,而译者并没有把这个含义解读出来。)还有把制片和导演搞混了,这是不可原谅的错误(书中384页说Saul Zaentz“执导”了《莫扎特传》和《英国病人》,而他是制片)。另外,由于电影的中文译名繁多,影片中大多数影片没有列出英文名实在是一个大大的败笔。

Categories: Books, Films Tags: ,

读书:激荡三十年

May 23rd, 2009 No comments

最近在读吴晓波的《激荡三十年》。这部关于当代的编年史,题材又是与时代主题最贴近的中国经济,读来当然是非常容易令人感慨万千、心潮澎湃的。

倘若简单归纳书中反复凸显的主题,那便是,中国改革开放三十年来在市场经济上的制度摸索,以及国有、外资与民营的三方博弈。由于中国独特的政治、历史背景,这场世人瞩目的改革与“经济奇迹”,其过程充满了进一步退两步的曲折与新旧力量的对峙,乃至无数的灰色地带。

譬如说,企业的产权,成为了过去三十年来绊倒了无数国内企业家的巨石。走在改革前沿企业家以自己的能力与创新去击破僵滞的生产力,按理应得到相应的酬劳,然而模糊的产权归属最终迫使他们一个个“铤而走险”,在法律与政策的灰色地带游走。资本的原始积累注定是灰色而血腥的,被拿来祭旗的企业家恐怕也的确个个“劣迹斑斑”,然而“闯关”成功的人似乎更多的也是靠运气和机遇而非自身的“清白”。于是问题的根本便在于无法可依与政策的暧昧,而这后面的“局”其溯源便是社会制度与意识形态层面的东西,是所有制等姓“社”还是姓“资”的历史问题的后续。

民营企业在三十年中的遭遇,便饱经这种“局”的困扰。作为中国经济增长的重要动力,民营资本却长时间遭到打压,乃至国有与外资的联手打击。这个结果看似荒谬,其出现却是种种利益较量的必然结果。民营企业融资难,这恐怕是个谈了二十年的话题,而至今似乎也没有什么改观,地下钱庄似乎仍然是主要的渠道。

作为描述改革开放的编年史,政治无疑是个敏感的话题,而作者最终采用了避重就轻的方法。一些对于中国影响深远的事件,在书中并未涉及。这也可以理解,毕竟作者与改革中的民营企业家一样,都是在灰色与暧昧的地带如履薄冰,这便是中国改革最大的国情。

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读书:《潜规则》

April 29th, 2009 1 comment

读的是近期出的修订版。没有读过旧版,不知道有什么大的区别。

其实《潜规则》想讲的东西非常的简单,就是从历史的角度来看官场,并探究中国官场的结构性问题。或者说是体制问题。我想吴思是个很聪明的人,他完全是在借古论今,这是一种取巧的进言方法。

内容我觉得没有太多要评论的。其实潜规则的出现,如作者所言,也如The Economic Naturalist书中举例说道,是基本的经济学定理决定的,那就是成本与收益的对比——为官者,腐败的风险小,而利润巨大;为民者,抗争的成本巨大,而每个人所被剥削的损失相比之下却没有那么多。每个人头收5块钱,一千万人就是五千万,征收者是甘愿为这暴利铤而走险的,而百姓却很难联合起来为了5块钱去上访。

背后的问题就在于,完全没有独立的监督机制。古往今来的检察机构,都是潜规则的一部分,这本身也是毫不奇怪的,亦是上述同样的经济学定理在起作用——尽职是费力不讨好的事情,不尽职则大家一起鱼肉百姓闷声发财。

这倒并不是说道德才是唯一有约束力的。三权分立,真正意义上的民主制度,乃至最基本的履行宪法,才能一定程度上维持一个对权力的制衡。我并不是说西方政体里就没有潜规则或者多么清廉;你只需看看Obama通过的经济刺激法案,那个被反对党和部分评论人士戏称为porculus bill而不是stimulus bill的东西(看看pork barrel的含义你就明白为什么这么说)。但是在那样的一个环境下,权力是相对制衡的。

不过读完这本让人沮丧的《潜规则》,我倒是有些欣慰。在古代,百姓抗争的代价是巨大的,因此舆论作为一种监督力量是被压抑的;而如今,我不需要到越级上访,只消在网上把信息传播出来,就有可能促成变化。虽然为官者,出于千百年来的惯性乃至利益驱动的本能,在制造王帅、吴保全这样的打击网上声音的案子,但是,毕竟可以看到,网络正在使媒体民主化。这是变革的苗子。

Categories: Books, My writings, Thoughts Tags: ,

Reading: The Economic Naturalist

April 17th, 2009 No comments

At first glance this was just another book jumping on the wagon of bestsellers such as Freakonomics and The Undercover Economist and working to promote introductory theories of economics. However this book differs in that it is more derived from classroom teachings (a lot of examples are from students’ course-work), and reads very much like a text-book at times.

This is both a blessing and a curse – on the one hand, the book gains credibility by building upon years of real coursework (you know that the arguments presented have been rigoriously debated in class), and reading the examples are a very interactive mental exercise; on the other hand, the book feels a tad boring at times (too lecture-like), and some of the examples and their explanations feel over-theoretical.

Not the most innovative or bold book compared to its peers, but if you’re interested in such readings, you will enjoy this one.

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Reading “Outliers”

March 18th, 2009 1 comment

Malcolm Gladwell’s latest best-seller, Outliers, continues to present the reader with unexpected findings in social psychology. Its aim is not to provide a deeply scientific read, but rather to entertain (and perhaps enlighten) the reader with some provocative ideas.

Mr. Gladwell’s writing is easy to apprehend, and it’s clear he is targeting the the general public. The core argument of Outliers is that success depends very much on the environment and opportunities available – this is certainly not a revolutionary idea (indeed, it’s more or less common sense), but Mr. Gladwell provides enough twists in his case studies to force us to rethink just how important this message is.

For example, certainly the most memorable example of the book is how there is a high correlation between the month of birth and a person’s probability of success as a professional athlete. Using ice hockey (and other pro-sports) as data, research has shown that some ~40% of athletes are born in the first three months of the year (and almost no athletes in the last three months of the year), which is statistically different from the general distribution observed in society. The reason? In ice hockey’s case, the cut-off date for youngsters in youth leagues is Jan 1st, and when you’re 5 or 6 years old, being older by half a year is a significant advantage over your peers (if you’re born in January, compared to someone born in the second half of the year). This means you’re much more likely to be picked by coaches (who believe you are a better player), and get better training and more practice – and as a result, you do become a better player. A self-fulfilling prophecy at work.

The insight in this example is that an arbitrary decision (setting the cut-off date at Jan 1st) has led to a discrimination of sorts. People born in Q3 and Q4 are significantly disadvantaged, but people hardly ever recognize this.

Mr. Gladwell goes on to use other examples, such as research in education, to emphasize how important it really is to provide equal opportunity. While the points that he advocates are nothing new, his examples do shed some new light on how to think about certain issues. And in an unexpectedly personal epilogue, Mr. Gladwell invokes his own family story to drive the point home. It is a very moving finale, which to some extent raises this book above mediocrity.

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Reading “The Constitution of Liberty”

March 17th, 2009 No comments

Warning: this is going to be a post about a fundamentally huge topic where I can’t possibly elaborate my ideas in a coherent and organized structure. It will likely be a rambling long post as I struggle to capture the main takeaways of my reading exercise.

Since last year, I’ve been spending bits and pieces of my time reading Hayek’s The Constitution of Liberty. This is purely a leisurely interest on my part – I didn’t study political philosophy in college, and have only had brief encounters with the topic, in a hopelessly random fashion.

In college, I had read The Road to Serfdom, in Chinese, partly because I was intrigued by its reputation to have disproved the feasibility (and desirability) of socialism from an (pure) economics perspective. The central premise of that book, if I may summarize as such, is that without a free market, society loses the most important input – price – to allocate capital efficiently to generate social progress. Of course, the arguments in that book go beyond this one single point (without economic freedom there can be no liberty, etc.).

In The Constitution of Liberty, Hayek ambitiously attempts to summarize his whole thinking in one book. The school of thought is now commonly termed Neoliberalism, but at the time of his writing, Hayek struggled to find the right phrase to attach himself to – he felt that the meaning of liberalism has been twisted beyond redemption, and he was inclined to use Whiggism, or Libertarianism.

While this obsession with words may seem trivial, it actually highlights my first takeaway. Hayek painstakingly spends the length of the whole Part I (the book is in three parts) to delve into the definitions of basic concepts, such as liberty, coercion, and the rule of law. In Hayek’s view, the concept of “liberty” has been so broadened over time, that the word itself is meaningless – and to discuss what being a “liberal” encompasses, he has to restate what liberty is. Indeed, many times parties engaged in animated debate over hot topics hardly ever realize that they are using the same phrase to mean radically different things – and if we are to ever achieve clarity in thought, we must get the basics right first.

Of course, the book is not a mere discussion of linguistics and the origin of words. The purpose of Hayek’s review of history is to show how these fundamental concepts came into being, and also present his philosophical view that the systems (democracy, etc.) which society operate on are not created, but summarized or discovered. He opposes the French Rationalist tradition where people believe they can create ideal systems through rational thought (such as the failed socialism movement, in its 19th century original sense) – Hayek views such tendencies with high suspicion, as he believes that they are prone to fall to the shortcomings of man and destroy the most important values (such as liberty) which history has given us. (I feel my description here omits some important points… though I can’t really recall them and can only humbly suggest reading the book if you’re interested in this discussion.)

The most central topic of the book is what is the Rule of Law which will guarantee liberty, and prevent individuals from the “arbitrary coercion” which is the biggest danger to liberty. Hayek lists a few key principles and characteristics of a true Law, perhaps the most important of which (or the one which we have discarded the most) being that laws should not be arbitrary. What this means is that legislators should not be allowed to pass whatever laws they wish (even if they hold majority support of the people) – these laws must conform with a higher set of basic law (the Constitution) which cannot be easily modified. Otherwise this would simply be despotism of the majority, leading to the arbitrary coercion of minorities.

In Part I & II, Hayek elaborates these principles and their historical context, as well as more recent developments which he believes have undermined the Rule of Law. In Part III, he shifts to policy debates, using the principles established to scrutinize a range of public policy issues, from the progressive tax system to public housing and education. Hayek expresses his profound concerns on the developments in these areas – for example, according to his interpretation of the Rule of Law, the progressive tax system is fundamentally flawed, in that it is a classic case of arbitrary coercion – the majority deciding what discriminative tax rates a minority (the rich, in this case) should pay. He argues that such populist legislations, which are founded upon a wish for distributive justice and a non-existent (or arbitrary) set of moral standards, are a direct infringement of liberty.

The problem, however, is that in such specific cases people ignore the larger principles at work. Most people support progressive tax rates, as it is “fair”; if the underlying principle that the majority can rule over any minority in any way it wishes is applied in other scenarios, we may well find a bitter taste in our mouths. Hayek’s concern is that such arbitrary legislation (however benign their specific intentions may be) opens the door to such abuse – man is inherently weak and corrupt, and we cannot rely on morals to pass judgment on every arbitrary law.

Hayek notes that from a practical politics perspective, once the floodgates have been opened, it is difficult to go back. Progressive tax systems, where they have been introduced, are here to stay. He is most concerned how in this process, people have forgotten or misinterpreted the fundamental principles of society, posing a major risk going forward.

As a closing note, it is probably not news that Neoliberalism is not so popular these days. The philosophy is understandably suffering a major backlash due to the financial crisis. However, this does not render Hayek’s arguments moot. I think the fundamental principles that he passionately defends are still very relevant, and especially in times of uncertainty, we should be extra wary of being swayed by short-sighted considerations.

Categories: Books Tags:

Michael Crichton, in memory of

November 7th, 2008 No comments

Amid all the major news of late, I somehow missed the piece on Michael Crichton passing away due to cancer.

I am a big fan of his books. While his works were never literary masterpieces, his vision and the arguments he constructed have consistently shaped my worldview over the years.

I first heard of his name in 1993. That year I was 10 years old, and the movie adaptation of Jurassic Park had just been released. Of course, everybody knew how successful that film was.

The first Crichton thriller I read was Congo, back around 1996. I went on to read Jurassic Park, Disclosure, Rising Sun, Sphere, Timeline, Next, State of Fear. His books weren’t always consistent in quality – sometimes his imagination went to far and the plot went amok – but he never failed to build an impressive argument which made me ponder. His arguments spanned a wide range of topics – whether it was the morality of cloning, the hazards of unregulated biotech, sexual harassment, geopolitics, or the controversy over environmentalism – and you felt compelled to take him seriously due to the elaborate construction.

Perhaps mostly because of him, I remain a skeptic over global warming and the related public policy movement. That’s his personal legacy to me. I know I’ll miss the feeling of waiting for the next Crichton novel. Farewell, Michael.

Categories: Books, My writings, Thoughts Tags: ,

Rediscovering reading

September 15th, 2008 1 comment

I’ve finally started reading again. I’m halfway through Into Thin Air, and I recently finished The Call of the Wild on my iPod. Speaking of which, the iPod ebook apps, such as Stanza and eReader, offers great features and ease of use. The free downloads of tons of classics leave me no excuse but to dig in… And the screen is beautiful to read at bed time with the lights off. Truly a habit changing technology.
Posted from my iPod Touch while in Guomao.

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Rita Hayworth and Shawshank Redemption

July 13th, 2008 No comments

I stumbled upon Different Seasons, Stephen King’s collection of four novellas, yesterday while doing some shopping. I had wanted to read it, most especially The Body (from which the great film Stand by Me comes from), but I was also interested in reading Rita Hayworth and Shawshank Redemption, which of course is the source material for The Shawshank Redemption, one of the best films of the 90s.

I spent a few hours yesterday and this morning reading this story. Stephen King’s prose is easy to read and extremely engaging. The story is told in the first person, from the eyes of “Red”, the long time inmate of Shawshank who over the length of twenty-seven years became good friends with the central character, Andy.

Compared to the famous 1994 film, the novella is more centrally focused on two characters – Andy and “I” – whereas the film showed a lot of interest in the side characters and had several subplots that were very well developed. The novella is less dramatic and paints a more bleak picture of the life inside (for example, Tommy, the young man who knew the real killer of Andy’s wife and her lover, was not shot but simply transferred to another prison – after making a deal with the corrupt warden not to talk about it anymore). Having already known the ending to the story, the revelation (the escape) didn’t come as a surprise, but it was still very enjoyable to read.

And perhaps I should end this semi-review with a favorite quote from the novella, a passage that really captures the essence of the story:

Some birds are not meant to be caged, that’s all. Their feathers are too bright, their songs too sweet and wild. So you let them go, or when you open the cage to feed them they somehow fly out past you. And the part of you that knows it was wrong to imprison them in the first place rejoices, but still, the place where you live is that much more drab and empty for their departure.

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