nan | 楠木

With Spain’s classy win over Portugal today, the match-ups for the quarter-finals are complete. Time to put down some predictions.

Quarter-finals

Uruguay – Ghana: Uruguay should take this one. Their strikers have looked dangerous throughout the tournament, while Ghana has not been really impressive. If Uruguay wins, it will be their first trip to the semis in 40 years – a mini revival for the two-time champions.

Brazil – Netherlands: this will be a tight one. The Dutch side posed serious threats to Brazil in both 94 (quarter-finals) and 98 (semi-finals), but lost both times. Brazil has been lethal in their efficiency, and will probably go through on goals from a few short bursts of samba football magic.

Argentina – Germany: probably the best match of the quarter-finals. The historical head-to-head statistics are slightly in Argentina’s favor I think; the bigger issue is whether this German side can fend off really talented technical teams, such as Argentina. Two years ago they were systematically outplayed by Spain in the Euro Cup final (very much like Portugal was today). My money is on Argentina.

Paraguay – Spain: Spain are the clear favorites here, though they should be wary of complacency. Their defense have not been too assuring, but they have only conceded two goals in four matches. Barring a huge upset, they should go through to the semi-finals.

Semi-finals (assuming my predictions)

Brazil – Uruguay: again Brazil are the favorites. Both teams are really familiar with each other. Uruguay needs to grasp every chance possible; if Brazil continues their form, they should go through to the final.

Argentina – Spain: Either Argentina or Germany would be a huge headache to Spain. If it is indeed Argentina, we should expect to see a very entertaining match of attacking football, with lots of opportunities at both ends. The two teams have not met in the world cup, and head-to-head records are tied. It will come down to sparks of brilliance from Messi versus his Barca team-mates Xavi and Iniesta. Really can’t predict – going with my personal favorite Spain here.

Final

Brazil – Spain: Brazil would be the favorites based on their current form and experience at this level of play, despite Spain being tipped overall favorites by bookies previously. And the head-to-head stats are also in Brazil’s favor. My biggest concern is the Spanish defense. If this match materializes, it could shape into one of the best finals in recent years. (Brazil – Argentina would be even more memorable, considering their huge rivalry.)

At any rate, this is perhaps Spain’s best chance in a while. Their squad is well-oiled and at the peak of their game, and they have the confidence of a team that has finally ended their perennial under-achieving streak by becoming European champions two years ago. They’ve never been to the World Cup final – this is their year to change that record.